Game Result Predictions
Friday, March 23
Friday, March 23
The Resid and Elo Predictions calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
UMBC (22-29) | 0 | 4 | +3.0 | 39% | ✔ | 2 | +4.5 | 25% | ✔ | |
FGCU (32-21) | 5 | 7 | -3.0 | 61% | 7 | -4.5 | 75% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
Jacksonville (40-21) | 6 | 6 | +1.0 | 46% | ✘ | 7 | -3.0 | 69% | ✔ | |
Jacksonville State (32-25) | 4 | 7 | -1.0 | 54% | 4 | +3.0 | 31% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
Grambling (23-26) | 7 | 6 | +3.0 | 39% | ✔ | 5 | +4.0 | 27% | ✔ | |
Kennesaw State (25-30) | 26 | 9 | -3.0 | 61% | 9 | -4.0 | 73% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
Stetson (48-13) | 12 | 6 | -2.0 | 58% | ✔ | 8 | -6.0 | 81% | ✔ | |
Maryland (24-30) | 3 | 4 | +2.0 | 42% | 2 | +6.0 | 19% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
Florida A&M (25-30) | 2 | 5 | +3.0 | 39% | ✔ | 3 | +5.0 | 24% | ✔ | |
North Florida (28-28) | 10 | 8 | -3.0 | 61% | 8 | -5.0 | 76% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
Lipscomb (24-30) | 3 | 4 | +3.0 | 39% | ✘ | 2 | +5.5 | 21% | ✘ | |
Purdue (38-21) | 1 | 7 | -3.0 | 61% | 7 | -5.5 | 79% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
Lipscomb (24-30) | 2 | 4 | +3.0 | 39% | ✔ | 2 | +5.5 | 21% | ✔ | |
Purdue (38-21) | 6 | 7 | -3.0 | 61% | 7 | -5.5 | 79% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
Dayton (21-31) | 6 | 5 | +2.0 | 42% | ✘ | 5 | +0.5 | 50% | ✘ | |
South Carolina Upstate (23-28-1) | 5 | 7 | -2.0 | 58% | 6 | -0.5 | 50% |
Friday, March 23 Results
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 62%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 75%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 62%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 75%
Overall Results (851 games)
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 71%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 68%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 71%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 68%
The goal for the Game Result Predictions is to determine winners at a rate greater than 70%.